highsea
06-17-2004, 10:41 PM
We know that Iran is building a bomb. We know that the China-North Korea-Pakistan black market enabled this, and nothing will stop it now, except another unilateral US action, and damn soon, too.
There are (right now) 4 divisions of Iranian Army massed at the southern border to Iraq. They're new, (in the last few weeks), and they serve a dual purpose. If the US bails out of Iraq, they will go in and take control, and insure an Islamic Fundamentalist Gov't, modeled on their own. There are enough Shia followers (70% of the population)in Iraq to make this a reality.
On the other hand, The US's recent sabre rattling has got to make them a little bit nervous, at the least. They know we are not that far away.
It's pretty clear that Iran is going to take the same path that North Korea took. Pacify and conceal until it's too late to prevent. So why is China so helpful to the NK/Arab Nuke armament triangle? Simply put, if the US gets buried in the Arab problem, the China problem gets a very back burner. China is playing the game too, just on the backside.
I think we need to be extremely forceful in our Arab policies, as well as our policies to NK (quite a way beyond arrogant is OK with me. Iran is arrogant right now. We should not be shy about what arrogant is.).
In the long view, this is the only way to show China that we will stick to our guns. The Arab world can not survive alienation from China. Europe will sit back and wait for the outcome before committing to a position. (having no armies, and being more oil-dependant on the mid-east than we.)
-CM
There are (right now) 4 divisions of Iranian Army massed at the southern border to Iraq. They're new, (in the last few weeks), and they serve a dual purpose. If the US bails out of Iraq, they will go in and take control, and insure an Islamic Fundamentalist Gov't, modeled on their own. There are enough Shia followers (70% of the population)in Iraq to make this a reality.
On the other hand, The US's recent sabre rattling has got to make them a little bit nervous, at the least. They know we are not that far away.
It's pretty clear that Iran is going to take the same path that North Korea took. Pacify and conceal until it's too late to prevent. So why is China so helpful to the NK/Arab Nuke armament triangle? Simply put, if the US gets buried in the Arab problem, the China problem gets a very back burner. China is playing the game too, just on the backside.
I think we need to be extremely forceful in our Arab policies, as well as our policies to NK (quite a way beyond arrogant is OK with me. Iran is arrogant right now. We should not be shy about what arrogant is.).
In the long view, this is the only way to show China that we will stick to our guns. The Arab world can not survive alienation from China. Europe will sit back and wait for the outcome before committing to a position. (having no armies, and being more oil-dependant on the mid-east than we.)
-CM