View Full Version : Oil spill far less damaging than predicted?

05-14-2010, 10:00 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">NEW ORLEANS For a spill now nearly half the size of Exxon Valdez <span style="color: #FF0000">Not 10X as some shrill reports claim.</span>, the oil from the Deepwater Horizon disaster is pretty hard to pin down. ...

So, where's the oil? Where's it going to end up?

Government scientists and others tracking the spill say much of the oil is lurking just below the surface. But there seems to be no consensus on whether it will arrive in black waves, mostly dissipate into the massive Gulf or gradually settle to the ocean floor, where it could seep into the ecosystem for years.
When it comes to deepwater spills, even top experts rely on some guesswork.
One of their tools, a program the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration uses to predict how oil spills on the surface of water may behave, suggests that more than a third of the oil may already be out of the water.
About 35 percent of a spill the size of the one in the Gulf, consisting of the same light Louisiana crude, released in weather conditions and water temperatures similar to those found in the Gulf now would simply evaporate, according to data that The Associated Press entered into the program.

The model also suggests that virtually all of the benzene a highly toxic flammable organic chemical compound and one of the chief ingredients in oil would be stripped off and quickly vaporize. ...

That would leave as much as 2.7 million gallons at sea as of Friday, with about 210,000 gallons coming up from the well every day. <span style="color: #CC0000">Far from the worst gulf spill ever.</span> ...

"That's the fate of a lot of oil spills: sedimentation on the bottom," Fingas said.

Overton disagreed, saying the oil from the Deepwater Horizon spill is too light to sink all the way.

A common refrain among experts and officials is that every oil spill is unique.

Larry McKinney, director of the Harte Research Institute for Gulf of Mexico Studies at Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi, said the Deepwater Horizon spill reminds him of the last catastrophic oil flood in the Gulf.
<span style='font-size: 26pt'>In 1979, Mexico's Ixtoc I in the western Gulf blew out and spewed about 420,000 gallons of oil a day for nine months. Large quantities of oil did not reach Texas beaches.</span>

"This was a problem we ran into with Ixtoc, we never found the oil," McKinney said. "But I think even today if you dig down in some sandy beaches you can find a layer of Ixtoc oil."</div></div>

&gt;&gt;&gt;HMMMMMM&lt;&lt;&lt; (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100514/ap_on_sc/us_gulf_spill_where_s_the_oil)


05-27-2010, 08:44 PM

05-28-2010, 06:28 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Oil spill far less damaging than predicted? </div></div>Doesn't really seem to matter, it is already damaging.


05-28-2010, 07:17 AM
Yes and no.

It is not good, that's for sure.

It also isn't anything approaching apocalyptic, which is how the anti capitalists are trying to spin it.


05-28-2010, 07:46 AM
A little early to be making that statement...we really don't know the extent of damage yet. Remember, it took a month for the oil to reach the coast. That means even if they shut it off today, there is another month of oil that can still make it's way to shore.

And, don't forget who is in charge of everything!! /forums/images/%%GRAEMLIN_URL%%/smirk.gif
Amything is possible when our leadership doesn't care!


05-28-2010, 09:04 AM
Agreed ... and I'm noy downplaying it, I'm just viewing through the prism of history. The gulf recovered from Ixtoc I which was far worse. The middle east recovered from Saddamite Hussinsein's oil dump ... which might have exceeded all the oil spills in US history combined.

What's more ... the Earth has recovered from the greatest man made eco-disaster of all time. The leftists usually don't even know what it was, and those that do don't like talking about it, because it was the actions of leftists which brought it about.