PDA

View Full Version : The fraud of man made global warming busted. Again



LWW
12-06-2010, 03:32 AM
... and again and again and again.

I guess "HIDE THE DECLINE" didn't hide it well enough?

<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Last week, halfway through yet another giant, 15,000delegate UN climate jamboree, being held this time in the tropical splendour of Cancun in Mexico, the Met Office was at it again.

Never mind that Britain, just as it was last winter and the winter before, was deep in the grip of a cold snap, which has seen some temperatures plummet to minus 20C, and that here 2010 has been the coolest year since 1996.

<span style='font-size: 11pt'>Globally, it insisted, 2010 was still on course to be the warmest or second warmest year since current records began.</span>

But buried amid the details of those two Met Office statements 12 months apart lies a remarkable climbdown that has huge implications - not just for the Met Office, but for debate over climate change as a whole.
Read carefully with other official data, they conceal a truth that for some, to paraphrase former US VicePresident Al Gore, is really inconvenient: <span style='font-size: 11pt'>for the past 15 years, global warming has stopped.</span> ...

<span style='font-size: 11pt'>According to the IPCC and its computer models, without enormous emission cuts the world is set to get between two and six degrees warmer during the 21st Century, with catastrophic consequences.</span>

Last week at Cancun, in an attempt to influence richer countries to agree to give 20billion immediately to poorer ones to offset the results of warming, the US-based International Food Policy Research Institute warned that global temperatures would be 6.5 degrees higher by 2100, leading to rocketing food prices and a decline in production.

The maths isn't complicated. If the planet were going to be six degrees hotter by the century's end, it should be getting warmer by 0.6 degrees each decade; if two degrees, then by 0.2 degrees every ten years. Fortunately, it isn't.

<span style='font-size: 14pt'>Actually, with the exception of 1998 - a 'blip' year when temperatures spiked because of a strong 'El Nino' effect (the cyclical warming of the southern Pacific that affects weather around the world) - the data on the Met Office's and CRU's own websites show that global temperatures have been flat, not for ten, but for the past 15 years. </span>

<span style='font-size: 11pt'>They go up a bit, then down a bit, but those small rises and falls amount to less than their measuring system's acknowledged margin of error.</span> <span style='font-size: 14pt'>They have no statistical significance and reveal no evidence of any trend at all.</span> ...

But little by little, the supposedly settled scientific ' consensus' that the temperature rise is unprecedented, that it is set to continue to disastrous levels, and that it is all the fault of human beings, is starting to fray.
<span style='font-size: 11pt'>Earlier this year, a paper by Michael Mann - for years a leading light in the IPCC, and the author of the infamous 'hockey stick graph' showing flat temperatures for 2,000 years until the recent dizzying increase - made an extraordinary admission: that, as his critics had always claimed, there had indeed been a ' medieval warm period' around 1000 AD, when the world may well have been hotter than it is now.</span>

Other research is beginning to show that <span style='font-size: 11pt'>cyclical changes in water vapour - a much more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide - may account for much of the 20th Century warming.</span>

Even Phil Jones, the CRU director at the centre of last year's 'Climategate' leaked email scandal, was forced to <span style='font-size: 11pt'>admit in a littlenoticed BBC online interview that there has been 'no statistically significant warming' since 1995.</span>

One of those leaked emails, dated October 2009, was from Kevin Trenberth, head of climate analysis at the US government's National Centre for Atmospheric Research and the IPCC's lead author on climate change science in its monumental 2002 and 2007 reports.

<span style='font-size: 11pt'>He wrote:</span> <span style='font-size: 14pt'>'The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment, and it is a travesty that we can't.'</span>

After the leak, Trenberth claimed he still believed the world was warming because of CO2, and that the 'travesty' was not the 'pause' but science's failure to explain it.

The question now emerging for climate scientists and policymakers alike is very simple. Just how long does a pause have to be before the thesis that the world is getting hotter because of human activity starts to collapse?

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/a...l#ixzz17K1KTGEz (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1335798/Global-warming-halted-Thats-happened-warmest-year-record.html#ixzz17K1KTGEz)</div></div>

LWW