09-15-2011, 08:49 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney now holds a sliver of a lead over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup.
Romney earns 43% support to the presidentís 40% in the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters. </div></div>
<span style='font-size: 14pt'>OH DEAR! (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_election_romney_vs_obama)</span>

<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">A generic Republican candidate earned the highest level of support to date against the president in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup for the week ending Sunday, September 4. The generic Republican picked up 49% support, while Obama earned 41%. Rasmussen Reports will release the latest numbers for this matchup at 3 pm Eastern today. </div></div>

<span style='font-size: 20pt'>OH MY! (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_election_romney_vs_obama)</span>

<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows Perry picking up 44% of the vote while the president earns support from 41%. </div></div>
<span style='font-size: 26pt'>JUMPING BUTTERBALLS! (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/perry_44_obama_41_president_leads_other_gop_hopefu ls)</span>

09-15-2011, 11:54 AM
Here we find a naive poseur trying to claim that a NEW slight lead, <s>probably</s> within the [stated] margin of error [of +/- 3%], without any confirming later polls showing a trend, by a noted R-leaning favorite pollster with an unusual methodology that skews 3-4 percentage points more R-ward than other pollsters, means Obama will definitely lose the race come the late fall of next year.

I remember when Dukakis held what, an 18% lead over GWH Bush, and that lead was NOT a year and 3-1/2 months out from the election, but right after both their nominating conventions a bare few months prior to election.

Still can't remember how his presidency worked out, though. Quite a mystery there!

Besides, unless an O-Cultist is a bandwagon supporter, what difference WOULD it make if he were seen most likely to lose? Would an ideological Goldwater supporter in '64 have switched to vote for LBJ just because AuH2O was trailing him in credible polling?