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LWW
03-11-2012, 01:57 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today's numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. That’s Romney’s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. </div></div>
JUMPING BUTTERBALLS! (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll)

Qtec
03-11-2012, 04:37 AM
Don't be ridiculous.

Q

llotter
03-11-2012, 05:05 AM
I am confident that The Moron will go down in infamy as well as and in Nov. but I don't think it will make enough difference to alter the downward course of America. The power of big government is too intoxicating for politicians to give it up voluntarily.

Soflasnapper
03-11-2012, 11:52 AM
Here's Real Clear Politics (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html) charts showing the state of the race between Obama and Romney, as a set of individual polls on the people's preference, and as their own average of all of the polls.

As you might imagine, little Scottie Rasmussen's peculiar and idiosyncratic sampling and weighting measures have his results well out of the mainstream of all polling, even including other polls using the LV screen (one of which has Obama up 10% using that screen, earlier in February). Currently, RCP average shows Obama up by 3.8%, not behind. As a handy tool, they provide a year or two of their averages of the polling of O vs. Willard, and only in two very brief periods does that average swing over to a net Willard position. (Second chart down the page).

Soflasnapper
03-11-2012, 01:16 PM
Now Rasmussen himself has Obama ahead of Romney in 4 core states, in which he was tied with him in February:

<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body"> Election 2012: The Core Four States
Obama Leads Romney, Santorum in Core Four States (FL, NC, OH, VA)
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Friday, March 09, 2012

President Obama now holds modest leads over Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum in combined polling of key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. The numbers mark a shift from late February when Obama was tied with both candidates in the four states.

Obama is now ahead of the former Massachusetts governor 46% to 42%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate in this matchup, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia was conducted on March 3-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. </div></div>

link (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/core_four_states/election_2012_the_core_four_states)

eg8r
03-11-2012, 09:59 PM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. </div></div>I am still holding out for someone better to rise up at the convention. This country will be no better with Romney at the helm and Obamacare will surely be cemented into place if that happens. Also, 5 percentage points is really nothing in the grand scheme of things.

eg8r

eg8r
03-11-2012, 10:00 PM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Now Rasmussen himself has Obama ahead of Romney in 4 core states, in which he was tied with him in February:
</div></div>It really is funny to see you flip around like a dying fish on the end of a hook with respect to Rasmussen. When he shows a Rep in the lead you refer to him as "little Scottie", yet when he shows a Dem in the lead or tied he is referred to as Rasmussen.

eg8r

JohnnyD
03-11-2012, 10:07 PM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body"> <div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today's numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. That’s Romney’s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. </div></div>
JUMPING BUTTERBALLS! (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll)
</div></div> Once again,thank you oh great one for the truth.The truth will set them free.They should accept the truth and move on with their lives.

LWW
03-12-2012, 02:31 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: eg8r</div><div class="ubbcode-body"><div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Now Rasmussen himself has Obama ahead of Romney in 4 core states, in which he was tied with him in February:
</div></div>It really is funny to see you flip around like a dying fish on the end of a hook with respect to Rasmussen. When he shows a Rep in the lead you refer to him as "little Scottie", yet when he shows a Dem in the lead or tied he is referred to as Rasmussen.

eg8r </div></div>

With doublethink, you can believe whatever you want to believe.

LWW
03-12-2012, 02:32 AM
JohnnyD ... you are a blessing to this forum.

Soflasnapper
03-12-2012, 08:34 AM
I treat him differently, depending on what finding of his I'm referring to.

If he is, as per usual, way off the trend numbers others show, in favor of his pet party, the GOP, I mention his bias by a sideways slur in passing.

If however even he shows a Dem ahead, despite his bias, it's worth special notice, as his acolytes take him to be accurate, AND he continues to use his biased sampling and weighting and LV screens. If he uses all of those biases, and still finds a Dem ahead ever, they're ahead for sure (and probably more than he says).

It's similar to when people might say 'even the NY TIMES says' or 'even the Huffington Post says,' and perhaps adds 'the REICHWING' as a descriptor, ironically. Because those are thought to be leftist leaning or full-blown lefties, so if they run something critical of the Dems, it would appear not to be out of right-wing bias. Extra proof, as a statement against interest.

Soflasnapper
03-12-2012, 08:38 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">
With doublethink, you can believe whatever you want to believe. </div></div>

So that's what you do when your hero Rasmussen shows Obama ahead of Romney? You have claimed that he is the most accurate pollster, but you have nothing to say when his results show O ahead?