View Full Version : Note to the cabal. I was right. Again.

03-13-2012, 05:00 AM
This entire thing has blown up in dear leader's face like a loaded cigar.

<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">How's the great contraception mandate battle of 2012 playing out? If you read the Washington Post's news coverage, the issue is supposedly killing Republicans among female voters. But the newest Washington Post/ABC poll tells a different story.

During the first few days of February, about a week before Obama declared a so-called "accommodation" to the contraception/abortifacient mandate, a Washington Post/ABC poll showed Obama's approval rating at 50 percent, with 46 percent of Americans disapproving.

Then, from March 7 to 10--a week into the national media firestorm surrounding Rush Limbaugh's degrading remarks about Georgetown Law student and liberal activist Sandra Fluke--Washington Post/ABC conducted another poll. It found Obama's approval rating at 46 percent, down four points from February, and his disapproval rating at 50 percent, up four points from February.

In February, Obama was leading Mitt Romney, 51 percent to 45 percent among registered voters. In March, Obama was trailing Mitt Romney, 47 percent to 49 percent among registered voters. The Post/ABC pollster finds that Obama "did better among men and women alike last month, and has lost ground slightly among both sexes this month." </div></div>

SAY IT AIN'T SO BARRY, SAY IT AIN'T SO! (http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/washington-post-poll-contradicts-washington-post-narrative-women-voters_633469.html?nopager=1)

03-13-2012, 08:15 AM


03-13-2012, 09:13 AM
Gas prices, much?

03-13-2012, 09:41 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: Soflasnapper</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Gas prices, much? </div></div>


<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: Soflasnapper</div><div class="ubbcode-body"><span style='font-family: Comic Sans MS'><span style='font-size: 23pt'>DENY, DEFLECT, DEFEND ...







DENY, DEFLECT, DEFEND ...</span></span></div></div>

03-13-2012, 12:15 PM
There are any number of reasons one may claim these poll drops result from.

Gas up, he apologized to Karzai for the Koran burnings, the Arizona sheriff's claim to have found fraud in the BC, and the list goes on and on.

You here claim that it is from the birth control mandated coverage issue, but you claim it only by correlation, with no evidence beyond that.

If the polling here asked that question, and if the respondents said it was their reason to have a lower approval rating for Obama, please point that out.

It cannot be found, because the approval for that policy is greater than the current job approval ratings.

Just as likely as any other reason is that the pollsters have a different sample mix, sampling more non-Democrats.

You have a problem with discernment, and a too eager inclination to defeat 'your enemies.' Which is sad, but not much my concern.

03-14-2012, 10:29 AM
And then there's Gallup saying something different.

March 12, 2012 Obama's Job Approval Rating Reaches 49% Over Weekend Increase occurs as economic confidence becomes sharply more positive by Frank Newport

PRINCETON, NJ -- President Barack Obama's job approval rating rose to 49% in the three-day period from Friday through Sunday, building on an upward trend that began the middle of last week. Obama's current approval rating is the highest measured since early February, and before that the highest since June 2011.

Barack Obama's 2012 Job Approval Averages

Gallup's latest three-day rolling average is based on polling conducted Friday through Sunday, March 9-11, and reflects the impact of the U.S. government's positive employment report released on Friday. Gallup's tracking of U.S. economic confidence showed a sharp positive uptick over the weekend, with the overall Economic Confidence Index at -13 and -14 in the three-day rolling averages reported Saturday and Sunday. The -13 average for March 8-10 is the most positive three-day economic confidence average recorded since Gallup began tracking in January 2008. Forty-six percent of Americans now say the economy is getting better, the highest percentage since late 2009. Gallup's full weekly report on U.S. economic confidence will be published Tuesday morning on Gallup.com.

Obama's job approval rating was at 43% as last week began. His rating improved to 48% by mid-week before rising to 49% over the weekend, suggesting that he was on the upswing even before Friday's jobs report.

Obama's weekly average for March 6-11, based on 3,632 interviews, is 48%, the highest since May 2011.

Barack Obama's Job Approval Averages -- Recent Trend

03-15-2012, 05:17 PM
A Pew poll out last day or so has Romney trailing Obama by 12 points nationally.

BTW, I do NOT present these numbers as particularly meaningful. Just one poll of dozens out there. The averages and trends are more meaningful, but that requires one to know which of the poll results are outliers. And you have to wait to find that out.

03-15-2012, 11:36 PM
The only poll that really matters is the one that will be conducted on the first Tuesday in November.

03-16-2012, 04:39 AM
Tell me the last time you were right about ANYTHING.

Please post links.

Q.....this should be fun!

03-16-2012, 08:22 AM
Why would anyone spend the time to provide information when all you are going to do is shove your head in the sand?


03-23-2012, 05:05 PM
If you were right, it was briefly.

By the RealClearPolitics (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_santorum_vs_obama-2912.html) average now, Obama is up an average of 8.7%. Including the Rasmussen result from 3/20-3/22, that he leads by 8% on the LV screen.