03-31-2012, 05:20 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">On election night 2008, freshman Meagan Cassidy left Lake Forest College and hopped a train to Chicago to celebrate Barack Obama’s impending victory.

“There was probably no better place to be,” Cassidy said in a phone interview. The excitement generated that evening spurred her on to become an intern and then a field organizer in three congressional contests and two human rights campaigns.

Now a senior, Cassidy, 21, said she’s not working on a campaign this time around. She’s too busy looking for a job at a nonprofit advocacy group. She and her friends aren’t discussing the election as much as in 2008, she said.

“There is not much talk of Obama at all,” Cassidy said of the mood on campus, which extends beyond the president. “I don’t think anyone’s satisfied.”

Obama enjoyed a wave of youth support in his run to the presidency, winning 66 percent of voters aged 18-to-29 in the race against Republican Senator John McCain. Twenty-two million young voters cast ballots, making up about 18 percent of the electorate -- two million more than in 2004, according to exit polls and the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement. Today that passion has cooled amid gridlock and partisanship in Washington and a surge in unemployment that is souring young voters.

‘More Apathetic’

“There’s definitely a significant sense that this generation are more apathetic headed into the 2012 election than they were in 2008,” John Della Volpe, director of polling for Harvard University’s Institute of Politics, said in a phone interview.

Obama’s approval rating among college students dropped to 46 percent last December from 58 percent in November 2009, according to a Harvard University poll. Fifty percent of people between the ages of 18 and 24 said they would “definitely” be voting, an 11 percentage-point decrease from the fall of 2007. A third of respondents said they approved of Democrats in Congress, and 24 percent approved of Republicans. Just 12 percent said the nation was headed in the right direction.

“The turnout will not be great,” Curtis Gans, director of the Center for the Study of the American Electorate in Washington, said in a phone interview. The war in Afghanistan, a lack of progress on closing Guantanamo Bay and a dismal job picture taint Obama’s prospects, he said. The unemployment rate among 18- to 24-year-olds was 16.3 percent at the end of last year, the highest since record-keeping began in 1948, according to a February Pew Research Center report.

“There’s not the sense that four more years of Obama will change the world for the better,” Gans said. Still, Obama stands a “reasonably good chance” of winning, he said. ...

Libertarian Streak

Texas Republican Representative Ron Paul has also generated excitement among younger voters, tapping into “an increasing libertarian streak” among students, Harvard’s Della Volpe said. Paul has run strongest among Republican primary voters ages 18- to-29, according to CNN exit polls, and won the group outright in the South Carolina and Michigan primaries. ...

“Obama came in with so many big ideas and big promises and this mantra of hope and change and something new,” Gilmore said. “I was more excited in 2008, but I was also very much naive about how politics work.” </div></div>

<span style='font-size: 26pt'>HERETICS! (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-30/obama-campus-fervor-losing-to-apathy-as-students-sour-on-2012.html)</span>


03-31-2012, 04:21 PM
Uncontested Race

Some of the apathy can be attributed to an uncontested Democratic race. In Obama’s 2008 primary battle, he and Hillary Clinton made appearances at dozens of college campuses to woo students. While the election is still more than seven months away, the president has time to recapture the mood that drew young people to him four years ago, Clo Ewing, a spokeswoman for the Obama campaign, said in a phone interview.

“We absolutely want to work toward doing as well, if not better, than we did in 2008,” Ewing said.

Support for Obama among young people, including students, may already be perking up, Della Volpe said. <span style='font-size: 14pt'>As of March 18, 55 percent of 18- to 29-year-olds approved of Obama, up from 44 percent in early December, according to a Gallup poll. The national average was 48 percent.</span> The poll didn’t separate out students.


Source? Your link.

04-01-2012, 05:10 AM


His support has only fell from 66% to 55%!


Well, he polls quite well in the African-American and Necro-American segments as well.

04-01-2012, 01:28 PM
Scoff all you want, but decreasing the support from every segment of the population is the key to gaining 5 million more votes than last time.

How do we know this? Because it is how W got re-elected.

Every single one of his various constituencies showed lower support for him, from evangelicals, to Catholics, to rural areas, to self-described conservatives, among self-identified Republicans, naturally from any prior Dem crossovers, among men, among women, among the elderly, among the higher income brackets, etc.

Despite, or maybe because, all these constituencies were down in support and vote for him in 2004, he beat his 2000 vote by 5 million votes.

HOW COULD HE HAVE DONE THAT??!!?!?! Good question. Apparently from a large unforeseen groundswell of support out of the inner cities! You know, unlikely voters.

If W could marshal their support, so much as to overcome the decline in his support from each and every constituency he relied on the prior year, don't you think O can do the same thing, except more so?

(helpful [/satire] tag here, as fairly obviously, W stole the '04 worse than it was stolen for him in '00).