Soflasnapper
09-14-2012, 10:30 AM
Obama's lead among likely voters is now about the same as it was just a little while ago among registered voters.
After the conventions, most of the polling now has turned to the likely voter screen, from the registered voter screen.
That difference in screening was one of the reasons that Rasmussen always showed a 4 to 5% skewing to the GOP side, relative to the other polling, prior to this change. He ALWAYS uses the LV screen.
Now, the traditional time that voters are allegedly more engaged in the election process has come, and what we see in the LV screen results is close to the prior RV screen results.
Which is a 5 to 8 point swing in the polling toward Obama. It can be seen as some of the polling also includes a RV screen result (although not as a top line result report).
As in this poll, (http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/09/new_nytcbs.php?ref=fpblg) from NY Times/CBS, published today, Friday.
Definitely beginning to slip away from Ritt Momney (his running mate's name for him, LOL!).
He has to rely upon his great foreign policy knowledge and strong critiques of Obama on that score, much to the worry and consternation of his backers, I'd guess.
After the conventions, most of the polling now has turned to the likely voter screen, from the registered voter screen.
That difference in screening was one of the reasons that Rasmussen always showed a 4 to 5% skewing to the GOP side, relative to the other polling, prior to this change. He ALWAYS uses the LV screen.
Now, the traditional time that voters are allegedly more engaged in the election process has come, and what we see in the LV screen results is close to the prior RV screen results.
Which is a 5 to 8 point swing in the polling toward Obama. It can be seen as some of the polling also includes a RV screen result (although not as a top line result report).
As in this poll, (http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/2012/09/new_nytcbs.php?ref=fpblg) from NY Times/CBS, published today, Friday.
Definitely beginning to slip away from Ritt Momney (his running mate's name for him, LOL!).
He has to rely upon his great foreign policy knowledge and strong critiques of Obama on that score, much to the worry and consternation of his backers, I'd guess.