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LWW
10-08-2012, 03:54 PM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body"> After showing President Obama with an 8-point lead in September, the Pew Research Center now finds a deadocked presidential race among registered voters -- and a 4-point Romney lead among those most likely to vote:

Coming out of the debate, Mitt Romney’s personal image has improved. His favorable rating has hit 50% among registered voters for the first time in Pew Research Center surveys and has risen five points since September. At the same time, Obama’s personal favorability rating has fallen from 55% to 49%.

In the presidential horserace, Romney has made sizable gains over the past month among women voters, white non-Hispanics and those younger than 50. Currently, women are evenly divided (47% Obama, 47% Romney). Last month, Obama led Romney by 18 points (56% to 38%) among women likely voters. …

Romney now ties Obama in being regarded as a strong leader and runs virtually even with the president in willingness to work with leaders of the other party. And by a 47% to 40% margin, voters pick Romney as the candidate who has new ideas.

Conversely, Obama continues hold leads as the candidate who connects well with ordinary people and takes consistent positions on issues. And Obama leads by 10 points (49% to 39%) as the candidate who takes more moderate positions on issues.</div></div>

JUMPING BUTTERBALLS! (http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/10/pew-romney-obama-137815.html)

LWW
10-08-2012, 03:58 PM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body"> In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35.

That's a 24-point swing among independents since 2008, a group that makes up anywhere from a quarter to a third of voters, and yet Battleground still has Obama in the lead 49-48…?

But if I'm skeptical of those bottom-line numbers, our journalist overlords who have chosen to palace guard instead of question will declare me a "truther."

The Battleground Poll also shows a 13 point enthusiasm gap in Romney's favor. Only 73% of Obama's supporters are "extremely likely" to vote, compared to 86% of Romney's supporters.

But again, don't question Battleground's 49-48% outcome. In fact, don't question anything anymore -- or the media will question you and mock you as a "truther. " This includes questioning our government about the release of counter-intuitive unemployment statistics very helpful to the president just 30 days out from the election.

Though the media hasn't yet decided it's time for a Romney Comeback Narrative, and probably never will, even if he wins -- there's no question Romney is rebounding in every national and swing state poll.

Nationally, Gallup has it all tied up among registered voters -- with the president dangerously below 50 at 47%. Rasmussen uses the more reliable likely voter screen and has Romney up 49-47%.</div></div>

SAY IT AIN'T SO BARRY ... SAY IT AIN'T SO! (http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/08/Battleground-Romney-Crushing-Obama-Indies)

Soflasnapper
10-08-2012, 07:15 PM
You may be right, but you may be wrong.

Don't like or do like the poll numbers, wait a day or so.

Gallup now has Obama +5 over Romney, polling through yesterday.

It's cute for you to think the INTERNALS of ONE POLL are so significant, or maybe you were influenced to think that? With a spoon?

LWW
10-08-2012, 10:00 PM
ACTUALLY (http://www.gallup.com/poll/157907/romney-narrows-vote-gap-historic-debate-win.aspx) ... Gallup has them tied.

DiabloViejo
10-08-2012, 10:58 PM
You conveniently forgot to include today's Gallup daily tracking which shows Obama up by 5.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

It seems that Mitt's post debate uptick is the political equivalent of a dead cat bounce.

In any case, the only poll that matters is the one on November 6th.

LWW
10-09-2012, 03:44 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: DiabloViejo</div><div class="ubbcode-body">You conveniently forgot to include today's Gallup daily tracking which shows Obama up by 5.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

It seems that Mitt's post debate uptick is the political equivalent of a dead cat bounce.

In any case, the only poll that matters is the one on November 6th. </div></div>

Have you no shame?

Follow my link ... you are using pre debate numbers as if they were still valid, and ignoring post debate numbers.

Soflasnapper
10-09-2012, 09:54 AM
You are ignoring the post-post-debate numbers.

Using polling that ended the 6th, ignoring the polling that was published that included polling through the 7th.

Have you no <s>shame</s> reading comprehension? Wait, don't answer that as we know the answer.

LWW
10-09-2012, 09:55 AM
That is simply not true ... but, you already knew that.

DiabloViejo
10-09-2012, 11:52 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body"><div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: DiabloViejo</div><div class="ubbcode-body">You conveniently forgot to include today's Gallup daily tracking which shows Obama up by 5.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx

It seems that Mitt's post debate uptick is the political equivalent of a dead cat bounce.

In any case, the only poll that matters is the one on November 6th. </div></div>

Have you no shame?

Follow my link ... you are using pre debate numbers as if they were still valid, and ignoring post debate numbers. </div></div>

Don't give me the "shame" bullsh*t. You are a shameless and perverse liar. But then again you know that, don't you? You tried to pull a fast one and you got caught, now man up and admit it. (Of course you are incapable of being a real man as you are nothing but a dung slinging ape.)

LWW
10-09-2012, 11:53 AM
Seek help. Does your EBT card cover counseling?

DiabloViejo
10-09-2012, 12:02 PM
Once more you reach for your standard ad-hominem response. FYI assh*le, I don't have and don't need an EBT card, thank you. And I certainly don't need advice from a former used car salesman.

Does YOUR medicaid cover your chronic extreme constipation? It should, as apparently the excess retained waste in your colon is generating toxins that affect your thinking processes adversely.

LWW
10-09-2012, 12:40 PM
And I was concerned about you.

DiabloViejo
10-09-2012, 01:00 PM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body">And I was concerned about you. </div></div>

If you really want to help then go play Russian roulette with a large caliber revolver. BTW, I am about as truly concerned about you as you are about me, which is to say that my concern for you could fit nicely in a dust mite's anus without creating any difficulties for the poor dust mite.

LWW
10-10-2012, 03:31 AM
Must you always dive head first into the gutter?

Stretch
10-10-2012, 08:19 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Must you always dive head first into the gutter? </div></div>

Really, since the cesspool you inhabit has so much more room. St.

LWW
10-10-2012, 01:20 PM
Stop being buttsore because I see your playmates fowhat they are.

DiabloViejo
10-11-2012, 12:45 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Must you always dive head first into the gutter? </div></div>

I'm sorry I hurt your poor widdle feelings Chuffnut, I really am. Now how about you go pound sand up your bunghole and enjoy it.

LWW
10-11-2012, 04:39 AM
Please keep your homoerotic fantasies to yourself, this is a public forum open to wimminz and chillinz.

Stretch
10-11-2012, 05:57 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Stop being buttsore because I see your playmates fowhat they are. </div></div>

English please. St.

Qtec
10-11-2012, 06:05 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: Stretch</div><div class="ubbcode-body"><div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: LWW</div><div class="ubbcode-body">Stop being buttsore because I see your playmates fowhat they are. </div></div>

English please. St. </div></div>


LMAO


Nice one Stretch. /forums/images/%%GRAEMLIN_URL%%/laugh.gif


Q.. DORK (http://billiardsdigest.com/forums/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showflat&Number=400816#Post400816)

Gayle in MD
10-11-2012, 07:54 AM
<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: Soflasnapper</div><div class="ubbcode-body">You are ignoring the post-post-debate numbers.

Using polling that ended the 6th, ignoring the polling that was published that included polling through the 7th.

Have you no <s>shame</s> reading comprehension? Wait, don't answer that as we know the answer. </div></div>


<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body"> 2012 Polls Show Romney Gaining, But Key Swing States Still Tip To Obama

WASHINGTON -- With less than four weeks remaining in the race for president, a batch of new polls confirms that Republican nominee Mitt Romney has gained ground since last week's debate, but shows him continuing to lag behind President Barack Obama by narrow margins in some of the key swing states that will decide the election.

The polls also show that Romney has improved his image as a leader and increased enthusiasm among his supporters, while continuing to trail on some of voters' top issues.

Six new statewide polls were released early Thursday morning by two prominent polling partnerships. NBC News, The Wall Street Journal and Marist College reported new surveys of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, and CBS News, The New York Times and Quinnipiac University produced new polls of Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin.

These new surveys are closely watched partly because they probe attitudes beyond the horserace and partly because, unlike many other state-level surveys, they use live interviewers to call voters over both landline and cellular phones. This is a critical factor, given that a third of adults have only wireless service and roughly half of adults receive all or almost all of their calls via cell phone.

Five of the six new polls showed single-digit gains for Romney, but while the margins were mostly close, Obama retained at least a nominal advantage in four of the six.



In Ohio, arguably the most crucial of the battleground states, Marist's poll gave Obama a six percentage point lead (51 to 45 percent). That is slightly better than a CNN/ORC International survey conducted earlier in the week that showed Obama leading by four and significantly better than a series of automated polls showing one-point margins favoring either candidate.

NBC News noted that the new Marist poll featured an 11-point party identification advantage for Democrats, up from a five-point advantage on its last survey, and suggested that early voting may account for the change. "One-in-five respondents (18 percent), said they have already voted," according to the NBC report, "and, of those, almost two-thirds (63 percent) said they voted for Obama."

The HuffPost Pollster tracking model, with combines data from all available polls, both statewide and national, to provide a combined estimate for each state, shows Obama holding a roughly three percentage point lead in Ohio.

2012 Polls Show Romney Gaining, But Key Swing States Still Tip To Obama
Posted: 10/11/2012 9:34 am EDT Updated: 10/11/2012 9:34 am EDT

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.Follow: Elections 2012, Barack Obama , Mitt Romney, Barack Obama 2012 , Elections 2012, Video, 2012 Polls, Obama Polls, Romney Polls, Colorado Polls, Latest Presidential Polls, Mitt Romney 2012, Polls, Pollster Analysis, Presidential Polls, Presidential Polls 2012, Swing State Polls, Virginia Polls, Wisconsin Polls, Politics News . WASHINGTON -- With less than four weeks remaining in the race for president, a batch of new polls confirms that Republican nominee Mitt Romney has gained ground since last week's debate, but shows him continuing to lag behind President Barack Obama by narrow margins in some of the key swing states that will decide the election.

The polls also show that Romney has improved his image as a leader and increased enthusiasm among his supporters, while continuing to trail on some of voters' top issues.

Six new statewide polls were released early Thursday morning by two prominent polling partnerships. NBC News, The Wall Street Journal and Marist College reported new surveys of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, and CBS News, The New York Times and Quinnipiac University produced new polls of Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin.

These new surveys are closely watched partly because they probe attitudes beyond the horserace and partly because, unlike many other state-level surveys, they use live interviewers to call voters over both landline and cellular phones. This is a critical factor, given that a third of adults have only wireless service and roughly half of adults receive all or almost all of their calls via cell phone.

Five of the six new polls showed single-digit gains for Romney, but while the margins were mostly close, Obama retained at least a nominal advantage in four of the six.



In Ohio, arguably the most crucial of the battleground states, Marist's poll gave Obama a six percentage point lead (51 to 45 percent). That is slightly better than a CNN/ORC International survey conducted earlier in the week that showed Obama leading by four and significantly better than a series of automated polls showing one-point margins favoring either candidate.

NBC News noted that the new Marist poll featured an 11-point party identification advantage for Democrats, up from a five-point advantage on its last survey, and suggested that early voting may account for the change. "One-in-five respondents (18 percent), said they have already voted," according to the NBC report, "and, of those, almost two-thirds (63 percent) said they voted for Obama."

The HuffPost Pollster tracking model, with combines data from all available polls, both statewide and national, to provide a combined estimate for each state, shows Obama holding a roughly three percentage point lead in Ohio.


Both Marist and Quinnipiac reported results for Virginia, but they differed on the candidates' standings. Quinnipiac gives Obama a five percentage point lead (51 to 46 percent), while Marist finds a one-point edge for Romney (48 to 47 percent). Three recent automated, recorded voice polls tended to agree more with the Marist result, showing findings ranging from a three-point Romney lead to a three-point deficit.

The HuffPost Pollster tracking model shows a virtual tie in Virginia (Romney 47.3 percent, Obama 47.2 percent, as of this writing).

In Florida, the Marist poll gives Obama a one-point edge (48 to 47 percent). Once again, that result falls in the middle of a range of results reported by other polls this week, although automated polls by Rasmussen Reports and We Ask America gave Romney a narrow edge.

The Pollster tracking model estimate for Florida combines all of this data to give Romney an advantage of just under one percentage point (47.9 to 47.3 percent).

Collectively, the data tell us that despite Romney's recent gains, the contests remain competitive in two critical states.

In Colorado, the Quinnipiac survey gives Romney a one point edge (48 to 47 percent). Once again, the new result falls in the middle of three other recent Colorado surveys ranging from a four-point Obama lead to a four-point deficit. The Pollster tracking model combines to give Romney an advantage of less than one percent (47.5 to 47.0 percent).

The numbers have been better for Obama in Wisconsin, where the new Quinnipiac survey gives him a three-point advantage (50 to 47 percent), a point better than the two-point Obama leads on two recent automated polls by Rasmussen Reports and the Democratic party affiliated firm Public Policy Polling (PPP).

The Pollster tracking model estimate for Wisconsin currently gives Obama a roughly three-point lead (49.3 to 46.1 percent).

The new polls suggest Romney benefited from sharing the debate stage with Obama, leaving it with burnished leadership credentials. But swing state voters still harbor doubts about some of his positions, as well as his ability to relate to them.

Voters in Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin reported increased confidence in Romney's abilities to be commander in chief. The change was slight in Virginia and greatest in Colorado, where the percentage of respondents saying they were very confident in him rose from 24 percent in September to 32 percent this month. About two thirds of voters in all three states said Romney had strong leadership qualities, surpassing Obama's ratings on the issue.

Romney also saw increased enthusiasm among his backers. The percentage of Romney voters saying they strongly favored him rose by 5 points from September in Colorado and by 7 points in Virginia and Wisconsin. The number who strongly supported Obama rose by 1 point in Virginia, but dipped by 5 points from the most recent numbers in Colorado and Wisconsin, while the number of voters who said they chose him because they disliked Romney ticked up in all 3 states.

But the Republican candidate, who has consistently polled behind the president as someone who "cares about the needs and problems of people like you," did little to close that gap, receiving marks only 2 to 3 points higher than he did in September.

<span style='font-size: 17pt'>Only about a third of voters in the swing state polls said Romney had clearly explained his plans for the next four years, while about half thought Obama had presented a clear vision. Obama retained his edge in being more trusted to help the middle class, preserve Medicare and handle an international crisis.</span>Voters' views of the economy rose sigificantly in the swing states, at least partially reflecting a new jobs report showing the unemployment level has fallen below 8 percent. The percentage of voters who said the nation's economy is improving grew by 11 points in Colorado, 13 points in Wisconsin and 18 points in Virginia since August.

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Charts:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/11/2012-polls_n_1957189.html?utm_hp_ref=mostpopular



Additionally, the averaged polling data show the President at 275 in electoral votes, and Romney at only 206 in electoral votes, which is all that really counts.

Romney will never win this election.