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LWW
10-17-2012, 12:28 PM
... that he gained two points in the GALLUP poll.

Soflasnapper
10-17-2012, 01:08 PM
So Gallup polled and reached some thousands of people starting as of 10:30 pm or so last night and also published their results this morning?

That's a fascinating claim, and surely false.

Oh, it was a JOKE? Funny...

LWW
10-17-2012, 01:40 PM
GALLUP YESTERDAY:

ROMNEY 49 OBAMA 45

GALLUP TODAY:

ROMNEY 51 OBAMA 45

Explain how that isn't a two point gain for R-money from yesterday to today?

Soflasnapper
10-17-2012, 01:44 PM
Because they report TODAY what they polled YESTERDAY (or before).

Yesterday, or before, BEFORE THE DEBATE TOOK PLACE.

So unless you're claiming it was based on those polled's PREDICTIONS of how they thought the debate would go...

and even you are not that far gone...

you have made a joke.

LWW
10-18-2012, 04:47 PM
So what's the lame excuse that he went from down four to down six the ext y and down seven ay after next?

Soflasnapper
10-18-2012, 06:06 PM
There's enough vagary in the sampling, even without intentionally doing so, that the true numbers are masked by the noise.

It's amusing that you hang on every day's polling, and of individual polls, and probably buy that the likely voter screen is far more accurate than the registered voter screen, so ignore such (RV) screened polling.

Which ain't necessarily so, as you might find if you read up on it a bit. Plenty of 'likely voters' don't get to the polls, and plenty of 'unlikely' (but registered) voters do get to the polls.

This is a remarkably crap-laden area of social science, and people give it far more credibility than it deserves.

LWW
10-18-2012, 06:29 PM
Yes ... the opinion of those who vote are, IMHO, more important than those who do not.

OTOH, bing that you lovingly embrace thugocracy and voter fraud, your faith in unlikely voters saving the day is duly noted.

Want to see if you can get both feet in your mouth?

Soflasnapper
10-19-2012, 06:33 PM
Stop your execrable lying, please.

LWW
10-20-2012, 05:51 AM
What was the lie?

Soflasnapper
10-20-2012, 09:08 AM
Two lies: OTOH, bing that you lovingly embrace thugocracy and voter fraud