View Full Version : Election takeaways...

11-07-2012, 10:56 AM
Excerpts from the original, here. (http://www.volokh.com/) <div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Quote:</div><div class="ubbcode-body">(1) The Republicans’ other demographic problem: Sure, the GOP needs to reach out to the growing Hispanic population. But the bigger problem is that single women vote overwhelmingly Democratic, and for the first time in American history there are more single women than married women. Single women are much more economically vulnerable than are married women, and want the government to be there to insure them against hard times. This is especially true of single women with kids–and the American divorce rate is still the highest in the world, and over 40% of American children born last year were born to single mothers. This isn’t good for the women, their children, or American society, and it’s not good for the Republicans. So how about spending (A LOT) less time worrying about gays getting married, and more time worried about women (and men) who aren’t? Reducing the number of what used to be called “broken homes” is a culture war worth fighting; gay marriage is not.

(4) Kudos to Nate Silver, he seems to have made all the right calls, including the key and controversial call that the state polls were more accurate than the national polls. Rasmussen, in predicting a strongly Republican electorate, seems to have discredited himself. Similarly, some heads should roll at Gallup, which despite having an enormous sample size completely botched predicting the partisan makeup of the electorate.

(8) Monday morning quarterbacking is easy, but I always thought that Romney made a mistake in pitching his campaign almost entirely on dissatisfaction with the economy. Available political science models suggested that the fact that the economy was improving would be more important than the fact that it still wasn’t doing that well. Such models predicted a narrow Obama reelection. To win, then, Romney needed to win over a percent or two of voters with a broader vision. It may not have been possible, and maybe it would have backfired. But it was worth a shot. I also was skeptical that going on cruise control after the first debate was a wise strategy. On the other hand, Romney isn’t really a big picture kind of guy, and his likeability ratings were low enough that a more aggressive posture may not have worked. Mitt Romney may have run the best campaign Mitt Romney could run, given his temperament.

(9) I suspect this is the last time for a long time we are going to see a GOP ticket with two white non-Hispanic men.

(10) Early indications from a variety of sources suggest that Romney won about 30% of the Jewish vote, the most for a GOP candidate since 1988, and a decent showing considering that most Jews live in deep blue states–the New York metro area, Maryland, Massachusetts, Illinois, and California–where their votes weren’t contested. (I also tend to think that exit polls and surveys slightly underestimate the GOP Jewish vote because the two groups most likely to vote Republican, the ultra-Orthodox and Russian immigrants, are also the least likely to respond to pollsters.)

(11) With a few exceptions, the Democrats’ campaign was remarkably free of appeals to anti-Mormon prejudice. Kudos for that.</div></div>

11-07-2012, 11:02 AM
Its all about who give out the most free stuff.
Eventually the system will fail and collapse.
That will be a good day.

11-07-2012, 11:15 AM
That's the Santa Claus version of the GOP's policies-- we can have a lot more government than we're willing to pay for, because tax cuts!

By contrast, the Democratic House and Senate under GHW Bush, and the Democratic House and Senate under Clinton, decided we DID have to pay for government, put in curbs on spending while raising taxes on the top bracket (twice), and we ended up in surplus, paying down $500 billion on the publicly held national debt, and oh yes, had the longest peacetime recovery, very high work participation rates and under 4% unemployment (UE-3).

Well the hell with all of that, said W. Now we're working out of what his turning away from that winning economic policy bequeathed the country.

So basically you're right, in an opposite way from what you state. We have a free-rider problem, but it's among the wealthiest.

Gayle in MD
11-07-2012, 11:17 AM
LOL, Republicans always predict all out Armageddon when they lose.

Hey, have a drink, and take a break. Chill!

The future will contiue to present problems, but guess what, when you don't have any more problems, you're dead!

Problems are opportunities to evolve, create, and work harder for better solutions.

You won't find many problem solvers in the cemetary. /forums/images/%%GRAEMLIN_URL%%/wink.gif