View Full Version : How America’s Cities May Explode In Violence

12-23-2012, 05:32 PM
A good take on human nature when the dependent suddenly find the gravy train has run dry.

Bracken: When The Music Stops – How America’s Cities May Explode In Violence

In response to recent articles in mainstream military journals discussing the use of the U.S. Army to quell insurrections on American soil (http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/full-spectrum-operations-in-the-homeland-a-%E2%80%9Cvision%E2%80%9D-of-the-future), I offer an alternate vision of the future. Instead of a small town in the South as the flash point, picture instead a score of U.S. cities in the thrall of riots greater than those experienced in Los Angeles in 1965 (Watts (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Watts_Riots)), multiple cities in 1968 (MLK assassination (http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/king-riots.htm)), and Los Angeles again in 1992 (Rodney King (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Los_Angeles_riots)). New Yorkers can imagine the 1977 blackout looting (http://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/news/2007/07/dayintech_0713) or the 1991 Crown Heights disturbance (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crown_Heights_riot). In fact, the proximate spark of the next round of major riots in America could be any from a long list cribbed from our history.

We have seen them all before, and we shall see them all again as history rhymes along regardless of the century or the generation of humankind nominally in control of events. But the next time we are visited by widespread, large-scale urban riots, a dangerous new escalation may be triggered by a fresh vulnerability: It’s estimated that the average American home has less than two weeks of food on hand. In poor minority areas, it may be much less (http://www.marigallagher.com/site_media/dynamic/project_files/Chicago_Food_Desert_Report.pdf). What if a cascading economic crisis, even a temporary one, leads to millions of EBT (electronic benefit transfer (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electronic_Benefit_Transfer)) cards flashing nothing but ERROR? This could also be the result of deliberate sabotage by hackers, or other technical system failures. Alternatively, the government might pump endless digits into the cards in a hopeless attempt to outpace future hyperinflation. The government can order the supermarkets to honor the cards, and it can even set price controls, but history’s verdict is clear: If suppliers are paid only with worthless scrip or blinking digits, the food will stop.
In my scenario, the initial riots begin spontaneously across affected urban areas, as SNAP (supplemental nutrition assistance program (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supplemental_Nutrition_Assistance_Program)) and other government welfare recipients learn that their EBT cards no longer function. This sudden revelation will cause widespread anger, which will quickly lead to the flash-mob looting of local supermarkets and other businesses. The media will initially portray these “food riots” as at least partly justifiable. Sadly, millions of Americans have been made largely, or even entirely, dependent on government wealth transfer payments to put food on their tables.
A new social contract has been created, where bread and circuses buy a measure of peace in our minority-populated urban zones. In the era of ubiquitous big-screen cable television, the internet and smart phones, the circus part of the equation is never in doubt as long as the electricity flows. But the bread is highly problematic. Food must be delivered the old-fashioned way: physically. Any disruption in the normal functioning of the EBT system will lead to food riots with a speed that is astonishing. This will inevitably happen when our unsustainable, debt-fueled binge party finally stops, and the music is over. Now that the delivery of free or heavily subsidized food is perceived by tens of millions of Americans to be a basic human right, the cutoff of “their” food money will cause an immediate explosion of rage. When the hunger begins to bite, supermarkets, shops and restaurants will be looted, and initially the media will not condemn the looting. Unfortunately, this initial violence will only be the start of a dangerous escalation.
The ransacked supermarkets, convenience stores, ATMs and gas stations will not be restocked during this period due to the precarious security situation. A single truck loaded with food or gasoline would be perceived to be a Fort Knox on wheels and subject to immediate attack unless heavily protected by powerfully armed security forces, but such forces will not be available during this chaotic period. Under those conditions, resupply to the urban areas cannot and will not take place. The downward spiral of social and economic dysfunction will therefore both accelerate and spread from city to city. These delays, in turn, will lead to more riots with the constant underlying demand that hungry people be fed, one way or another.
Catch-22, anyone? When these demands do not bring the desired outcome, the participants will ratchet up the violence, hoping to force action by the feckless state and national governments.
The “food riots” will be a grass-roots movement of the moment born out of hunger and desperation. It will not be dependent upon leaders or an underlying organization, although they could certainly add to the sauce. Existing cell phone technology provides all the organization a flash mob needs. Most of the mobs will consist of minority urban youths, termed MUYs in the rest of this essay. Which minority doesn’t matter; each urban locale will come with its own unique multi-ethnic dynamic.
Some locales will divide upon religious or political lines, but they will not be the dominant factors contributing to conflict. In the American context, the divisions will primarily have an ethnic or racial context, largely because that makes it easy to sort out the sides at a safe distance. No need to check religious or political affiliation at a hundred yards when The Other is of a different color.
We Americans are all about doing things the easy way, so, sadly, visible racial and ethnic features will form the predominant lines of division.
Would that it were not so, but reality is reality, even when it’s is a bitch.
Especially then.


12-23-2012, 06:50 PM
Karl Marx From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Born Karl Heinrich Marx 5 May 1818 Trier, Kingdom of Prussia
Died 14 March 1883 (aged 64) London, United Kingdom
Residence Germany, United Kingdom
Nationality Prussian, German
Era 19th-century philosophy
Region Western Philosophy, German philosophy
Religion Protestantism; later, none (atheist)
School Marxism, Communism, Socialism, Materialism
Main interests Politics, economics, philosophy, sociology, labour, history, class struggle,
Notable ideas
Co-founder of Marxism (with Engels), surplus value, contributions to the labor theory of value, class struggle, alienation and exploitation of the worker, The Communist Manifesto, Das Kapital, materialist conception of history.
Influenced by[show]

Karl Heinrich Marx (Berlin German pronunciation: [kaːɐ̯l ˈhaɪnʀɪç ˈmaːɐ̯ks], 5 May 1818 – 14 March 1883) was a German philosopher, economist, sociologist, historian, journalist, and revolutionary socialist. His ideas played a significant role in the establishment of the social sciences and the development of the socialist movement. He is also considered one of the greatest economists in history.[4][5][6][7] He published numerous books during his lifetime, the most notable being The Communist Manifesto (1848) and Capital (1867 –1894). He often worked closely with his friend and fellow revolutionary socialist, Friedrich Engels.[8]

Born into a wealthy middle-class family in Trier (formerly in Prussian Rhineland, now called Rhineland-Palatinate), Marx studied at both the University of Bonn and the University of Berlin, where he became interested in the philosophical ideas of the Young Hegelians. In 1836 he became engaged to Jenny von Westphalen, whom he married in 1843. After his studies, he wrote for a radical newspaper in Cologne, and began to work out his theory of dialectical materialism. After moving to Paris in 1843, he began writing for other radical newspapers. He met Engels in Paris, and the two men worked together on a series of books. Exiled to Brussels, he became a leading figure of the Communist League, before moving back to Cologne and founding his own newspaper. In 1849 he was exiled again and moved to London together with his wife and children. In London, where the family was reduced to poverty, Marx continued writing and formulating his theories about the nature of society and how he believed it could be improved, and also campaigned for socialism—he became a significant figure in the International Workingmen's Association.

Marx's theories about society, economics and politics—collectively known as Marxism—hold that all societies progress through the dialectic of class struggle: a conflict between an ownership class which controls production and a lower class which produces the labour for goods. Heavily critical of the current socio-economic form of society, capitalism, he called it the "dictatorship of the bourgeoisie", believing it to be run by the wealthy classes purely for their own benefit; and he predicted that, like previous socioeconomic systems, capitalism would inevitably produce internal tensions which would lead to its self-destruction and replacement by a new system: socialism.[9] He argued that under socialism society would be governed by the working class in what he called the "dictatorship of the proletariat", the "workers' state" or "workers' democracy".[10][11] He believed that socialism would, in its turn, eventually be replaced by a stateless, classless society called pure communism. Along with believing in the inevitability of socialism and communism, Marx actively fought for the former's implementation, arguing that social theorists and underprivileged people alike should carry out organised revolutionary action to topple capitalism and bring about socio-economic change.[12][13]

Revolutionary socialist governments espousing Marxist concepts took power in a variety of countries in the 20th century, leading to the formation of such socialist states as the Soviet Union in 1922 and the People's Republic of China in 1949. Many labour unions and workers' parties worldwide were also influenced by Marxist ideas, while various theoretical variants, such as Leninism, Stalinism, Trotskyism, and Maoism, were developed from them. Marx is typically cited, with Émile Durkheim and Max Weber, as one of the three principal architects of modern social science.[14] Marx has been described as one of the most influential figures in human history.[15]

12-23-2012, 06:51 PM
Might the USSA bekum the first modern communist country.

12-23-2012, 07:01 PM
Possible American Revolution No 3 (or iz it No 4 or 5). Probable Date 8 March – 8 November 2017. Similar to Russian.

Location Russia
Result Abdication of Nicholas II
Collapse of the Imperial Government
Collapse of the Provisional Government
Creation of the Russian SFSR
Beginning of the Russian Civil War
Imperial Governmenta
Provisional Government
Petrograd Soviet
Commanders and leaders
Nicholas IIa
Georgy Lvov
Alexander Kerensky
Vladimir Lenin
Leon Trotsky
Lev Kamenev
Russian Army:
Red Guards: 200,000
a. Until 15 March 1917.
The Russian Revolution is the collective term for a series of revolutions in Russia in 1917, which dismantled the Tsarist autocracy and led to the creation of the Russian SFSR. The Emperor was forced to abdicate and the old regime was replaced by a provisional government during the first revolution of February 1917 (March in the Gregorian calendar; the older Julian calendar was in use in Russia at the time). In the second revolution, during October, the Provisional Government was removed and replaced with a Bolshevik (Communist) government.

The February Revolution (March 1917) was a revolution focused around Petrograd (now St. Petersburg). In the chaos, members of the Imperial parliament or Duma assumed control of the country, forming the Russian Provisional Government. The army leadership felt they did not have the means to suppress the revolution and Nicholas II, the last Emperor of Russia, abdicated. The Soviets (workers' councils), which were led by more radical socialist factions, initially permitted the Provisional Government to rule, but insisted on a prerogative to influence the government and control various militias. The February Revolution took place in the context of heavy military setbacks during the First World War (1914–18), which left much of the Russian army in a state of mutiny.

A period of dual power ensued, during which the Provisional Government held state power while the national network of Soviets, led by socialists, had the allegiance of the lower classes and the political left. During this chaotic period there were frequent mutinies, protests and many strikes. When the Provisional Government chose to continue fighting the war with Germany, the Bolsheviks and other socialist factions campaigned for stopping the conflict. The Bolsheviks turned workers militias under their control into the Red Guards (later the Red Army) over which they exerted substantial control.[1]

In the October Revolution (November in the Gregorian calendar), the Bolshevik party, led by Vladimir Lenin, and the workers' Soviets, overthrew the Provisional Government in Petrograd. The Bolsheviks appointed themselves as leaders of various government ministries and seized control of the countryside, establishing the Cheka to quash dissent. To end Russia’s participation in the First World War, the Bolshevik leaders signed the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk with Germany in March 1918.

Civil war erupted between the "Red" (Bolshevik), and "White" (anti-Bolshevik) factions, which was to continue for several years, with the Bolsheviks ultimately victorious. In this way, the Revolution paved the way for the creation of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) in 1922. While many notable historical events occurred in Moscow and St. Petersburg, there was also a visible movement in cities throughout the state, among national minorities throughout the empire and in the rural areas, where peasants took over and redistributed land.

12-24-2012, 10:05 AM
Might the USSA bekum the first modern communist country.

Oddly enough, Marx thought the revolution he foresaw would come out of the high, longer developed (to the point of decadence) capitalist societies, not some feudal system backwater as Russia was, without a middle class or bourgeoisie. Capitalism should have been well developed enough to go through its internal crises from internal self-contradictions, falling profit margins, and etc., so as to prompt the revolution.

Well none of that was true for either Russia or China, and where it was true-- the US and western Europe-- communist social programs ideas were deliberately co-opted into social welfare state policies as a vaccine inoculating the body politic from that virus.

For another irony, what passes for 'conservative' thinking would sweep away all those social co-opted programmes, leaving the allegedly free west to the tender mercies of the inexorable market forces, and likely, prompting the very revolution that they think has already happened and that they think they are thereby opposing.

What has become clear is that capitalism is a force for radical change that needs dampening (and it has been dampened), but that financial capitalism, late stage capitalism, is a vampiric parasitic system that will kill itself. Of the two parts, it's the debt money system that is most virulent and in need of abolition.

12-24-2012, 03:12 PM
Capitalizm did in 2 years in hungary what communizm koodnt do in 50 yrs.
It made communizm popular.

I think that there iz no such thing az a good system. What u need iz good people. I think there iz no such thing az a good people.

There iz no such thing az capitalizm. Or at least it iznt what it says it iz. Or, anyhow, even if it duzz exist, it stinx.

12-24-2012, 09:00 PM
Real capitalism destroys capitalists. Entrepreneurs with too little experience think they can stay in business by underselling their goods and services on price. This causes a ruinous race to the bottom on price competition, and even when the low-price winner gets the market share prize, they find they still are losing money. But then they are a monopoly, and can jack the price up, which is a net end failure of the market, as no market forces then exist.

Consider the formerly regulated airline industry. Carter changed that when he began the deregulation error with the transporation industry, and what was once a solid but stodgy industry with a smaller but steady return on capital got cannibalized by the low price bottom feeders (Remember People's Air, anyone?). Basically now most of the industry is now or had to in the past go bankrupt to stay in business. Consumers can be said to have benefited from the lowered air fares, but at the expense of no airline service to the minor markets (as could be subsidized before out of the guaranteed price levels), and radical skimping on maintenance and capital replacement. Very cheap if you want to go to Vegas or NY, and fairly expensive if you want to go elsewhere.